Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.327184 3.842341 4.412439 5.090433 5.875246 6.755737 7.819400
2024-10-27 2.477690 3.107198 3.863918 4.841739 6.073830 7.577548 9.556538
2024-11-03 2.085909 2.811262 3.748635 5.051535 6.820684 9.146692 12.449757
2024-11-10 1.820260 2.616863 3.715390 5.345978 7.714766 11.046335 16.116103
2024-11-17 1.562573 2.380898 3.577429 5.462254 8.373310 12.726293 19.781785
2024-11-24 1.339965 2.152464 3.405455 5.489203 8.892834 14.276356 23.523310
2024-12-01 1.117852 1.883978 3.124098 5.291022 9.016396 15.219827 26.458334
2024-12-08 0.935425 1.647551 2.852724 5.056760 9.029221 15.966285 29.170472
2024-12-15 0.837623 1.538093 2.774561 5.135770 9.586996 17.720306 33.949427
2024-12-22 0.727341 1.388048 2.600684 5.011116 9.748645 18.777594 37.604210
2024-12-29 0.687292 1.361599 2.646961 5.303659 10.741919 21.541711 45.051850
2025-01-05 0.640263 1.313871 2.644527 5.498066 11.568165 24.101573 52.523730
2025-01-12 0.579700 1.232585 2.569589 5.545601 12.127598 26.265792 59.687338
2025-01-19 0.498434 1.095719 2.360959 5.277809 11.970217 26.892168 63.581074
2025-01-26 0.469603 1.067622 2.378406 5.509349 12.964960 30.229469 74.407795
2025-02-02 0.449922 1.056861 2.432138 5.832723 14.229675 34.406684 88.098670
2025-02-09 0.418295 1.013431 2.405068 5.960878 15.049092 37.669238 100.150650
2025-02-16 0.384042 0.958332 2.342212 5.991010 15.630175 40.445625 111.494544
2025-02-23 0.340040 0.872346 2.191745 5.774710 15.538775 41.488139 118.341586
2025-03-02 0.299664 0.789326 2.036132 5.518798 15.296013 42.084199 124.041446
2025-03-09 0.280322 0.758403 2.009406 5.605353 16.010603 45.417878 138.419205
2025-03-16 0.253142 0.702300 1.908171 5.469140 16.071134 46.924542 147.603420
2025-03-23 0.247203 0.703992 1.963551 5.789120 17.522842 52.730322 171.445156